Recent typhoon Dujuan's passage near eastern Japan on September 21 has left lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler maritime air over the Kanto region, creating forecast uncertainty for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance currently indicate overnight lows near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy to rainy conditions that limit radiational cooling, while historical late-September baselines average 17–19°C. This setup supports the near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C-plus outcomes, as variations in rain timing, wind, and clearing could shift the minimum several degrees either way before resolution. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and observational data through September 23 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 24. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 24. September?
26°C oder höher 39%
16°C oder darunter 38%
21°C 35%
22°C 22%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
38%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
14%
20°C
19%
21°C
35%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
10%
25°C
20%
26°C oder höher
39%
26°C oder höher 39%
16°C oder darunter 38%
21°C 35%
22°C 22%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$70 Vol.
35%
22°C
$42 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Dujuan's passage near eastern Japan on September 21 has left lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler maritime air over the Kanto region, creating forecast uncertainty for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance currently indicate overnight lows near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy to rainy conditions that limit radiational cooling, while historical late-September baselines average 17–19°C. This setup supports the near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C-plus outcomes, as variations in rain timing, wind, and clearing could shift the minimum several degrees either way before resolution. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and observational data through September 23 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$112Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Dujuan's passage near eastern Japan on September 21 has left lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler maritime air over the Kanto region, creating forecast uncertainty for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance currently indicate overnight lows near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy to rainy conditions that limit radiational cooling, while historical late-September baselines average 17–19°C. This setup supports the near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C-plus outcomes, as variations in rain timing, wind, and clearing could shift the minimum several degrees either way before resolution. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and observational data through September 23 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$112Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent typhoon Dujuan's passage near eastern Japan on September 21 has left lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler maritime air over the Kanto region, creating forecast uncertainty for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble model guidance currently indicate overnight lows near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy to rainy conditions that limit radiational cooling, while historical late-September baselines average 17–19°C. This setup supports the near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C-plus outcomes, as variations in rain timing, wind, and clearing could shift the minimum several degrees either way before resolution. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and observational data through September 23 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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