Recent heavy rainfall, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity associated with the withdrawing southwest monsoon have driven a cooling trend across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime maxima in Lucknow. Official IMD block-level guidance for September 26 indicates maximum temperatures near 27–28°C amid gusty winds and scattered thundershowers, while some global models project slightly lower values around 24–25°C depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. High humidity, reduced insolation from overcast skies, and evaporative cooling from wet surfaces further limit warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C reflects this model consensus alongside uncertainty in exact rainfall distribution and local steering patterns that could produce modest variations in peak readings. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 26. September?
23°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 32%
22°C 28%
20°C oder niedriger
4%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
32%
25°C
34%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
4%
30°C oder höher
4%
23°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 32%
22°C 28%
20°C oder niedriger
4%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
32%
25°C
34%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
4%
30°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent heavy rainfall, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity associated with the withdrawing southwest monsoon have driven a cooling trend across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime maxima in Lucknow. Official IMD block-level guidance for September 26 indicates maximum temperatures near 27–28°C amid gusty winds and scattered thundershowers, while some global models project slightly lower values around 24–25°C depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. High humidity, reduced insolation from overcast skies, and evaporative cooling from wet surfaces further limit warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C reflects this model consensus alongside uncertainty in exact rainfall distribution and local steering patterns that could produce modest variations in peak readings. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen