Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow and surrounding blocks project minimum temperatures of 22.9–23.0°C on September 25 amid widespread thunderstorms, heavy rain, and gusty winds tied to active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity near 80–90% are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology where regional minima typically range 23–25°C. Global model guidance shows limited spread on steering patterns, though timing of peak rainfall could nudge readings slightly lower. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 27°C or higher highlights uncertainty around localized measurement sites and potential for warmer advection, while the clustering around 22–23°C aligns with official guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. September?
27°C oder höher 98%
17°C oder darunter 50%
22°C 44%
23°C 44%
17°C oder darunter
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C oder höher
98%
27°C oder höher 98%
17°C oder darunter 50%
22°C 44%
23°C 44%
17°C oder darunter
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow and surrounding blocks project minimum temperatures of 22.9–23.0°C on September 25 amid widespread thunderstorms, heavy rain, and gusty winds tied to active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity near 80–90% are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology where regional minima typically range 23–25°C. Global model guidance shows limited spread on steering patterns, though timing of peak rainfall could nudge readings slightly lower. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 27°C or higher highlights uncertainty around localized measurement sites and potential for warmer advection, while the clustering around 22–23°C aligns with official guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide key resolution signals before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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