Recent IMD and international model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 23, amid the southwest monsoon’s ongoing withdrawal from western India and lingering moisture over the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader balance between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher buckets reflects uncertainty in local factors that control nighttime radiative cooling: variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential can suppress temperature drops, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow stronger cooling. Humidity levels near 60–80% and easterly flow further moderate the range, keeping most ensemble members clustered around the mid-20s. Updated IMD forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 23. September?
21°C oder darunter 84%
31°C oder höher 84%
27°C 48%
30°C 35%
21°C oder darunter
84%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
26%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
35%
31°C oder höher
84%
21°C oder darunter 84%
31°C oder höher 84%
27°C 48%
30°C 35%
21°C oder darunter
84%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
26%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
35%
31°C oder höher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD and international model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 23, amid the southwest monsoon’s ongoing withdrawal from western India and lingering moisture over the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader balance between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher buckets reflects uncertainty in local factors that control nighttime radiative cooling: variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential can suppress temperature drops, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow stronger cooling. Humidity levels near 60–80% and easterly flow further moderate the range, keeping most ensemble members clustered around the mid-20s. Updated IMD forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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