Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 29. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 29. Juni?
29°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
29. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
29. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
$2,297 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$1,972 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$3,751 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$6,709 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$18,568 Vol.
Ja
30°C
$8,056 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$4,126 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$2,746 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$1,861 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$1,008 Vol.
Nein
35°C oder höher
$966 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$52,059Enddatum
29. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$52,059Enddatum
29. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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