Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 6?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 Vol.
$73,097 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 Vol.
$73,097 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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