**Forecast models and recent observations position 37–38°C as the most probable high for Jeddah on September 9.** Coastal Red Sea influence, combined with light northwest winds, clear skies, and high pressure, typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 30s°C during early September, consistent with observed highs of 36–38°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with peaks expected near midday under strong insolation and low humidity aloft. Trader consensus reflected in the market—38°C at 45% implied probability, 37°C at 29%, and 39°C+ at 21%—aligns with this narrow range of outcomes, while lower thresholds carry minimal weight given the absence of cooling factors or model divergence. Updated runs ahead of the diurnal peak will provide the final data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 9. September?
38°C 45%
37°C 29%
39°C oder höher 21%
35°C 6%
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.
29°C oder weniger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
6%
37°C
29%
38°C
45%
39°C oder höher
21%
38°C 45%
37°C 29%
39°C oder höher 21%
35°C 6%
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.
29°C oder weniger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
6%
37°C
29%
38°C
45%
39°C oder höher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and recent observations position 37–38°C as the most probable high for Jeddah on September 9.** Coastal Red Sea influence, combined with light northwest winds, clear skies, and high pressure, typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 30s°C during early September, consistent with observed highs of 36–38°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with peaks expected near midday under strong insolation and low humidity aloft. Trader consensus reflected in the market—38°C at 45% implied probability, 37°C at 29%, and 39°C+ at 21%—aligns with this narrow range of outcomes, while lower thresholds carry minimal weight given the absence of cooling factors or model divergence. Updated runs ahead of the diurnal peak will provide the final data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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