Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 18. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 18. Juli?
21°C 100.0%
20°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Vol.
$218,330 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
20°C oder darunter
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder mehr
Nein
21°C 100.0%
20°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Vol.
$218,330 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
20°C oder darunter
$19,697 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$45,240 Vol.
Ja
22°C
$36,248 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$32,061 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$26,937 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$19,105 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$14,864 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$9,755 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$6,629 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$7,580 Vol.
Nein
30°C oder mehr
$215 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$218,330Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$218,330Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen