Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a high of 72°F or higher in Los Angeles on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs around 75-79°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This follows an extreme early-spring heat wave, including the record-warmest March on record in 2026 across the West, which has carried into April with above-normal temperatures and reduced marine layer influence allowing greater solar heating. Persistent coastal clouds or unexpected onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and clearing skies. Watch NWS updates Friday for refined 24-hour outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 78%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 7%
66-67°F 3.3%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
14%
72°F or higher
78%
72°F or higher 78%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 7%
66-67°F 3.3%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
14%
72°F or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a high of 72°F or higher in Los Angeles on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs around 75-79°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This follows an extreme early-spring heat wave, including the record-warmest March on record in 2026 across the West, which has carried into April with above-normal temperatures and reduced marine layer influence allowing greater solar heating. Persistent coastal clouds or unexpected onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and clearing skies. Watch NWS updates Friday for refined 24-hour outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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