Trader consensus in the Lucknow August 1 temperature market clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting monsoon-season moderation rather than peak summer heat. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the active southwest monsoon reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Recent IMD guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions and a monsoon trough positioned to sustain these patterns through early August, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from localized convection. Model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range period, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts if monsoon rainfall intensity changes in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 1. August?
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
20%
33°C
31%
34°C
26%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$2 Vol.
20%
33°C
$44 Vol.
31%
34°C
$26 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
13%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Lucknow August 1 temperature market clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting monsoon-season moderation rather than peak summer heat. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the active southwest monsoon reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Recent IMD guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions and a monsoon trough positioned to sustain these patterns through early August, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from localized convection. Model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range period, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts if monsoon rainfall intensity changes in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$107Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Lucknow August 1 temperature market clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting monsoon-season moderation rather than peak summer heat. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the active southwest monsoon reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Recent IMD guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions and a monsoon trough positioned to sustain these patterns through early August, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from localized convection. Model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range period, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts if monsoon rainfall intensity changes in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$107Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Lucknow August 1 temperature market clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting monsoon-season moderation rather than peak summer heat. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the active southwest monsoon reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Recent IMD guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions and a monsoon trough positioned to sustain these patterns through early August, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from localized convection. Model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range period, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts if monsoon rainfall intensity changes in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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