The India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow on June 14, 2026, calls for a maximum temperature of 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, directly anchoring the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent days saw highs of 39–44 °C amid a heat wave, but increasing moisture and cloud cover from eastern Uttar Pradesh have moderated conditions, consistent with climatological trends for mid-June as pre-monsoon activity builds. Hourly observations through the afternoon remained near or below this level, reinforcing trader consensus on the official measurement. Only a substantial revision in verified IMD data or an unexpected localized spike would alter the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,023 Vol.
$47,023 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,023 Vol.
$47,023 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow on June 14, 2026, calls for a maximum temperature of 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, directly anchoring the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent days saw highs of 39–44 °C amid a heat wave, but increasing moisture and cloud cover from eastern Uttar Pradesh have moderated conditions, consistent with climatological trends for mid-June as pre-monsoon activity builds. Hourly observations through the afternoon remained near or below this level, reinforcing trader consensus on the official measurement. Only a substantial revision in verified IMD data or an unexpected localized spike would alter the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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