Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$101,559 Vol.
$101,559 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$101,559 Vol.
$101,559 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
16°C or below
$2,897 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,199 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,767 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,491 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,126 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,379 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$10,552 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,371 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,036 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,757 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$7,984 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$101,559Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$101,559Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen