Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Manila on May 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 9?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
30°C or below
$938 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,803 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,296 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,759 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,837 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,314 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,987 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,877 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$3,428 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,298 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,716 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$38,253Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$38,253Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen