Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 29 consistently indicate a daily high near 22–23°C, driven by the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters, seasonal cloud cover, and afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and others highlights light rain and moderate easterly winds suppressing peaks below the June average of about 24°C. Trader sentiment reflects this through the leading 31.5% implied probability on 22°C, with notable dispersion across 21–24°C outcomes due to forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and urban heat effects. Official observations from Mexican meteorological stations will resolve the market, with updates possible as short-range models refine.