Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 17. April?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72–73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$109,430 Vol.
$109,430 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
Nein
72–73 °F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83 °F
Nein
84-85°F
Ja
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72–73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$109,430 Vol.
$109,430 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
Nein
72–73 °F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83 °F
Nein
84-85°F
Ja
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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