Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 3. August?
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
30–31°C
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F oder höher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
$72 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$583 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$97 Vol.
2%
30–31°C
$208 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$50 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$80 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$106 Vol.
37%
94-95°F
$1,203 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$275 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
100°F oder höher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$2,791Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,791Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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