Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 22. April?
17°C oder höher 100.0%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 Vol.
$57,306 Vol.
7°C oder darunter
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C oder höher
Ja
17°C oder höher 100.0%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 Vol.
$57,306 Vol.
7°C oder darunter
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C oder höher
Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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