Recent high-pressure dominance and subsiding air over northern Italy have driven above-average temperatures, with ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS indicating surface maxima near 35–37 °C for Milan on August 4 amid clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Soil moisture deficits from the preceding weeks amplify sensible heating, while the urban heat island effect adds 1–2 °C locally. The closely matched market shares for 34 °C or below, 35 °C, and 36 °C reflect genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and slight timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Official verification will rely on ARPA Lombardia or Milan-Linate station readings at 2 m height.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 4. August?
34°C oder darunter 34%
36°C 28%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
34°C oder darunter
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C oder höher
<1%
34°C oder darunter 34%
36°C 28%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
34°C oder darunter
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance and subsiding air over northern Italy have driven above-average temperatures, with ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS indicating surface maxima near 35–37 °C for Milan on August 4 amid clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Soil moisture deficits from the preceding weeks amplify sensible heating, while the urban heat island effect adds 1–2 °C locally. The closely matched market shares for 34 °C or below, 35 °C, and 36 °C reflect genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and slight timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Official verification will rely on ARPA Lombardia or Milan-Linate station readings at 2 m height.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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