Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
28°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Vol.
$55,965 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Vol.
$55,965 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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