Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 25?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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