Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Munich's highest temperature on April 17, clustering around 17-20°C under a transitional southerly flow bringing milder air after April 14's cooler 11°C high with showers. The narrow lead for 19°C (34%) over 20°C (26.5%) stems from ensemble spread in 2m temperature projections, with control runs differing on afternoon cloud cover and insolation—clearer skies could push peaks to 20°C, while scattered showers favor 18-19°C. Above-seasonal trends persist from March's fourth-warmest global anomaly, per Copernicus data, against April's climatological mean of 13°C. Watch DWD updates and tomorrow's ECMWF runs for refined guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 13%
21°C 12%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
10%
18°C
13%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
6%
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 13%
21°C 12%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
10%
18°C
13%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Munich's highest temperature on April 17, clustering around 17-20°C under a transitional southerly flow bringing milder air after April 14's cooler 11°C high with showers. The narrow lead for 19°C (34%) over 20°C (26.5%) stems from ensemble spread in 2m temperature projections, with control runs differing on afternoon cloud cover and insolation—clearer skies could push peaks to 20°C, while scattered showers favor 18-19°C. Above-seasonal trends persist from March's fourth-warmest global anomaly, per Copernicus data, against April's climatological mean of 13°C. Watch DWD updates and tomorrow's ECMWF runs for refined guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen