Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on July 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 6?
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 9.5%
NEU
NEU
6. Juli 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 9.5%
NEU
NEU
6. Juli 2026
19°C or below
$36 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$38 Vol.
1%
22°C
$56 Vol.
1%
23°C
$176 Vol.
3%
24°C
$395 Vol.
19%
25°C
$199 Vol.
35%
26°C
$54 Vol.
28%
27°C
$51 Vol.
10%
28°C
$32 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,100Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,100Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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