Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 6. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 6. Juli?
16°C 100.0%
13°C oder darunter <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 Vol.
$37,759 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
13°C oder darunter
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C oder höher
Nein
16°C 100.0%
13°C oder darunter <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 Vol.
$37,759 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
13°C oder darunter
$1,350 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$1,425 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$2,164 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$8,623 Vol.
Ja
17°C
$6,864 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$4,051 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$3,402 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$2,744 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$2,222 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$2,103 Vol.
Nein
23°C oder höher
$2,811 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$37,759Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$37,759Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen