Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 6. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 6. Juli?
26°C 100.0%
22°C oder weniger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,938 Vol.
$33,938 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
22°C oder weniger
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
22°C oder weniger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,938 Vol.
$33,938 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
22°C oder weniger
$813 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,183 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$1,110 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$2,503 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$6,570 Vol.
Ja
27°C
$6,780 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$3,814 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$2,882 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,254 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$2,521 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$2,511 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$33,938Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,938Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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