Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 9. Mai?
22°C 100.0%
15°C oder weniger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 Vol.
$118,175 Vol.
15°C oder weniger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Ja
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
22°C 100.0%
15°C oder weniger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 Vol.
$118,175 Vol.
15°C oder weniger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Ja
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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