Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C on June 18, 2026, driven by scattered thunderstorms and showers that limit daytime heating in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern features cloud cover and precipitation that typically caps peaks 1–2°C below the monthly average of 29–31°C. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential unless clearer skies develop, keeping 28–30°C outcomes dominant while rarer extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and moisture.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$328,426 Vol.
$328,426 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$328,426 Vol.
$328,426 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C on June 18, 2026, driven by scattered thunderstorms and showers that limit daytime heating in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern features cloud cover and precipitation that typically caps peaks 1–2°C below the monthly average of 29–31°C. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential unless clearer skies develop, keeping 28–30°C outcomes dominant while rarer extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and moisture.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen