The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the official minimum temperature recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory on September 18, 2026, reached 27°C. This positioning aligns with observational data showing persistently warm conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average near 25°C. Recent model runs and station reports confirmed no significant frontal passage or increased moisture that would have allowed temperatures to dip lower. A realistic challenge would require an unreported data revision from the Observatory or use of an alternative measurement site, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary values are posted.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. September?
27°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C oder darunter <1%
$20,683 Vol.
$20,683 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C oder darunter <1%
$20,683 Vol.
$20,683 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$81 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,240 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,717 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the official minimum temperature recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory on September 18, 2026, reached 27°C. This positioning aligns with observational data showing persistently warm conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average near 25°C. Recent model runs and station reports confirmed no significant frontal passage or increased moisture that would have allowed temperatures to dip lower. A realistic challenge would require an unreported data revision from the Observatory or use of an alternative measurement site, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary values are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$20,683Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the official minimum temperature recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory on September 18, 2026, reached 27°C. This positioning aligns with observational data showing persistently warm conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average near 25°C. Recent model runs and station reports confirmed no significant frontal passage or increased moisture that would have allowed temperatures to dip lower. A realistic challenge would require an unreported data revision from the Observatory or use of an alternative measurement site, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary values are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,683Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the official minimum temperature recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory on September 18, 2026, reached 27°C. This positioning aligns with observational data showing persistently warm conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average near 25°C. Recent model runs and station reports confirmed no significant frontal passage or increased moisture that would have allowed temperatures to dip lower. A realistic challenge would require an unreported data revision from the Observatory or use of an alternative measurement site, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary values are posted.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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