The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,618 Vol.
$61,618 Vol.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,618 Vol.
$61,618 Vol.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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