Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 31°C or higher (84% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs of 32–34°C under persistent high-pressure ridging typical of the late dry season. Recent observations show actual highs of 93–95°F over the past week, with minimal cloud cover and low rain risk reinforcing model agreement across ensembles like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Panama City's tropical climate features consistently warm April averages near 32°C, rarely dipping below 31°C historically; however, isolated afternoon showers could temper peaks. Watch for refined guidance in tomorrow's 12Z model runs as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 86%
30°C 10%
29°C 8%
28°C 2.7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
86%
31°C or higher 86%
30°C 10%
29°C 8%
28°C 2.7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 31°C or higher (84% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs of 32–34°C under persistent high-pressure ridging typical of the late dry season. Recent observations show actual highs of 93–95°F over the past week, with minimal cloud cover and low rain risk reinforcing model agreement across ensembles like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Panama City's tropical climate features consistently warm April averages near 32°C, rarely dipping below 31°C historically; however, isolated afternoon showers could temper peaks. Watch for refined guidance in tomorrow's 12Z model runs as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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