Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 30. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,315 Vol.
$26,315 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,315 Vol.
$26,315 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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