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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?

Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?

Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?

Juli 29

Juli 30

Juli 31

Juli 29

Juli 30

Juli 31

13°C 53%

14°C 39%

12°C 9%

15°C 3%

Polymarket
NEU

13°C 53%

14°C 39%

12°C 9%

15°C 3%

Polymarket
NEU

8°C or below

$399 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$361 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$15 Vol.

2%

11°C

$34 Vol.

2%

12°C

$65 Vol.

9%

13°C

$185 Vol.

53%

14°C

$477 Vol.

39%

15°C

$75 Vol.

3%

16°C

$60 Vol.

2%

17°C

$22 Vol.

1%

18°C or higher

$409 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts project a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on July 31 under showers with northwesterlies shifting southwesterly, consistent with the month’s 13°C average high amid typical winter variability. Market-implied odds edging toward 14°C over 13°C reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential for localized warming from northerly flow or delayed shower onset that could briefly elevate readings by 1°C. Wellington’s coastal exposure and topographic channeling amplify small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, and precipitation timing, while climatological baselines show July maxima rarely exceed 14–15°C without stronger subtropical influence. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will clarify whether conditions trend warmer or cooler than the central forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,103
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts project a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on July 31 under showers with northwesterlies shifting southwesterly, consistent with the month’s 13°C average high amid typical winter variability. Market-implied odds edging toward 14°C over 13°C reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential for localized warming from northerly flow or delayed shower onset that could briefly elevate readings by 1°C. Wellington’s coastal exposure and topographic channeling amplify small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, and precipitation timing, while climatological baselines show July maxima rarely exceed 14–15°C without stronger subtropical influence. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will clarify whether conditions trend warmer or cooler than the central forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,103
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

July 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

51%
Up
icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

July 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

51%
Up
icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

July 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

51%
Up

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „13°C" mit 53%, gefolgt von „14°C" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 29, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?" ist „13°C" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „14°C" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. Juli?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.