Official Met Office records confirm the lowest temperature in London reached exactly 17°C on July 31, driving the market's 100% implied probability. Nighttime radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds allowed surface temperatures to drop to this minimum at key urban stations, aligning with recent warm anomalies where July averages have trended 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Model reanalyses and observational networks show consistent readings without significant microclimate variance. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, the convergence of multiple verified sources makes alternative outcomes highly improbable at this stage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 31. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 31. Juli?
17°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,020 Vol.
$11,020 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
14°C oder weniger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,020 Vol.
$11,020 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
14°C oder weniger
$512 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$412 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$2,205 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$4,750 Vol.
Ja
18°C
$1,218 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$596 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$312 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$270 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$248 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$248 Vol.
Nein
24°C oder höher
$248 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office records confirm the lowest temperature in London reached exactly 17°C on July 31, driving the market's 100% implied probability. Nighttime radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds allowed surface temperatures to drop to this minimum at key urban stations, aligning with recent warm anomalies where July averages have trended 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Model reanalyses and observational networks show consistent readings without significant microclimate variance. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, the convergence of multiple verified sources makes alternative outcomes highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$11,020Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office records confirm the lowest temperature in London reached exactly 17°C on July 31, driving the market's 100% implied probability. Nighttime radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds allowed surface temperatures to drop to this minimum at key urban stations, aligning with recent warm anomalies where July averages have trended 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Model reanalyses and observational networks show consistent readings without significant microclimate variance. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, the convergence of multiple verified sources makes alternative outcomes highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,020Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official Met Office records confirm the lowest temperature in London reached exactly 17°C on July 31, driving the market's 100% implied probability. Nighttime radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds allowed surface temperatures to drop to this minimum at key urban stations, aligning with recent warm anomalies where July averages have trended 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Model reanalyses and observational networks show consistent readings without significant microclimate variance. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, the convergence of multiple verified sources makes alternative outcomes highly improbable at this stage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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