Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly equal favorites for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 2 because official guidance and climatological averages place overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical early-August conditions. Persistent showers and overcast skies limit nighttime radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds sustain warmth, keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures adds modest upward pressure, yet short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud timing and wind that could allow a dip to 24°C or hold near 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the Observatory, with fresh forecast updates expected to sharpen the distinction before the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. August?
24°C 43%
25°C 38%
23°C 17%
26°C 5%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
43%
25°C
38%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 43%
25°C 38%
23°C 17%
26°C 5%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$621 Vol.
2%
23°C
$685 Vol.
17%
24°C
$847 Vol.
43%
25°C
$2,395 Vol.
38%
26°C
$515 Vol.
8%
27°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly equal favorites for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 2 because official guidance and climatological averages place overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical early-August conditions. Persistent showers and overcast skies limit nighttime radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds sustain warmth, keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures adds modest upward pressure, yet short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud timing and wind that could allow a dip to 24°C or hold near 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the Observatory, with fresh forecast updates expected to sharpen the distinction before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,919Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly equal favorites for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 2 because official guidance and climatological averages place overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical early-August conditions. Persistent showers and overcast skies limit nighttime radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds sustain warmth, keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures adds modest upward pressure, yet short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud timing and wind that could allow a dip to 24°C or hold near 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the Observatory, with fresh forecast updates expected to sharpen the distinction before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,919Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly equal favorites for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 2 because official guidance and climatological averages place overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical early-August conditions. Persistent showers and overcast skies limit nighttime radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds sustain warmth, keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures adds modest upward pressure, yet short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud timing and wind that could allow a dip to 24°C or hold near 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the Observatory, with fresh forecast updates expected to sharpen the distinction before the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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