The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 Vol.
$21,467 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 Vol.
$21,467 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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