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icon for Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

icon for Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

PL 84%

MDB 10.9%

UNIÃO 1.1%

PSD <1%

Polymarket

$297,626 Vol.

PL 84%

MDB 10.9%

UNIÃO 1.1%

PSD <1%

Polymarket

$297,626 Vol.

icon for PL

PL

$260,826 Vol.

84%

icon for MDB

MDB

$8,948 Vol.

11%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$2,905 Vol.

1%

icon for PSD

PSD

$2,678 Vol.

1%

icon for REPUBLICANOS

REPUBLICANOS

$3,482 Vol.

<1%

icon for PT

PT

$2,976 Vol.

<1%

icon for PP

PP

$2,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for PSB

PSB

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$2,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$2,591 Vol.

<1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$2,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$2,930 Vol.

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to consistent leads in state-level polling models across multiple regions. The party benefits from coordinated right-wing alliances, including federations with UNIÃO and PP, plus high-profile candidacies such as Michelle Bolsonaro in the Federal District and Carlos Bolsonaro in Santa Catarina. These factors have sustained PL’s projected edge in recent aggregates of over 270 polls. MDB trails with broader but less concentrated support in key states, while smaller parties remain fragmented. Presidential race dynamics between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro have reinforced bloc positioning without producing major late shifts in Senate forecasts.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$297,626
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to consistent leads in state-level polling models across multiple regions. The party benefits from coordinated right-wing alliances, including federations with UNIÃO and PP, plus high-profile candidacies such as Michelle Bolsonaro in the Federal District and Carlos Bolsonaro in Santa Catarina. These factors have sustained PL’s projected edge in recent aggregates of over 270 polls. MDB trails with broader but less concentrated support in key states, while smaller parties remain fragmented. Presidential race dynamics between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro have reinforced bloc positioning without producing major late shifts in Senate forecasts.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$297,626
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „PL" mit 84%, gefolgt von „MDB" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 84¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $297.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ist „PL" mit 84%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „MDB" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.