Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 2026 vote have produced a crowded field for the Federal District's two Senate seats, with Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) emerging as the clearest frontrunners in available surveys. Party conventions and last-minute alignments within the PL and PDT have kept these names clustered at the top, while a long tail of additional contenders fragments the remainder of the vote. The absence of decisive polling leads or major campaign turning points since registrations closed has sustained tight implied probabilities across leading options, reflecting traders' assessment that small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the finish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGuto Felício dos Santos 44%
Erika Kokay 44%
Michelle Bolsonaro 44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Guto Felício dos Santos
44%
Erika Kokay
44%
Michelle Bolsonaro
44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
44%
Sebastião Coelho
44%
Leila do Vôlei
44%
Marley
44%
Tiago
44%
Zanata
44%
David Horn
40%
Avenir Rosa
40%
Ronaldo Fonseca
40%
Bia Kicis
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos 44%
Erika Kokay 44%
Michelle Bolsonaro 44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Vol.
44%
Erika Kokay
$0 Vol.
44%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Vol.
44%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Vol.
44%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Vol.
44%
Marley
$0 Vol.
44%
Tiago
$0 Vol.
44%
Zanata
$0 Vol.
44%
David Horn
$0 Vol.
40%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Vol.
40%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Vol.
40%
Bia Kicis
$0 Vol.
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 2026 vote have produced a crowded field for the Federal District's two Senate seats, with Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) emerging as the clearest frontrunners in available surveys. Party conventions and last-minute alignments within the PL and PDT have kept these names clustered at the top, while a long tail of additional contenders fragments the remainder of the vote. The absence of decisive polling leads or major campaign turning points since registrations closed has sustained tight implied probabilities across leading options, reflecting traders' assessment that small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 2026 vote have produced a crowded field for the Federal District's two Senate seats, with Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) emerging as the clearest frontrunners in available surveys. Party conventions and last-minute alignments within the PL and PDT have kept these names clustered at the top, while a long tail of additional contenders fragments the remainder of the vote. The absence of decisive polling leads or major campaign turning points since registrations closed has sustained tight implied probabilities across leading options, reflecting traders' assessment that small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 2026 vote have produced a crowded field for the Federal District's two Senate seats, with Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) emerging as the clearest frontrunners in available surveys. Party conventions and last-minute alignments within the PL and PDT have kept these names clustered at the top, while a long tail of additional contenders fragments the remainder of the vote. The absence of decisive polling leads or major campaign turning points since registrations closed has sustained tight implied probabilities across leading options, reflecting traders' assessment that small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the finish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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