Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 4. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 4. Juli?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F oder darunter <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$66,544 Vol.
$66,544 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
57°F oder darunter
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76°F oder höher
Nein
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F oder darunter <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$66,544 Vol.
$66,544 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
57°F oder darunter
$2,905 Vol.
Nein
58-59°F
$2,254 Vol.
Nein
60-61°F
$3,609 Vol.
Nein
62-63°F
$4,393 Vol.
Nein
64-65°F
$5,799 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$11,615 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$6,746 Vol.
Ja
70-71°F
$9,784 Vol.
Nein
72-73°F
$6,877 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$4,658 Vol.
Nein
76°F oder höher
$7,905 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$66,544Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66,544Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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