The dominant market consensus on a 64-65°F high for San Francisco on June 8 stems from the official National Weather Service observation of a 65°F maximum at San Francisco International Airport, aligning precisely with the resolution bin. Coastal marine layer influence and typical early-June “June Gloom” conditions suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-71°F despite regional variability. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than models, with minimal upside potential from inland heating or offshore flow. Traders priced near-certainty because deviations would require atypical synoptic patterns not observed that day. Resolution now hinges solely on final NWS climatological confirmation, underscoring how localized marine effects reliably anchor San Francisco’s temperature extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 8. Juni?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,630 Vol.
$29,630 Vol.
55°F oder darunter
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Ja
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74°F oder höher
Nein
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,630 Vol.
$29,630 Vol.
55°F oder darunter
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Ja
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 6, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The dominant market consensus on a 64-65°F high for San Francisco on June 8 stems from the official National Weather Service observation of a 65°F maximum at San Francisco International Airport, aligning precisely with the resolution bin. Coastal marine layer influence and typical early-June “June Gloom” conditions suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-71°F despite regional variability. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than models, with minimal upside potential from inland heating or offshore flow. Traders priced near-certainty because deviations would require atypical synoptic patterns not observed that day. Resolution now hinges solely on final NWS climatological confirmation, underscoring how localized marine effects reliably anchor San Francisco’s temperature extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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