Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. Juli?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,046 Vol.
$72,046 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,046 Vol.
$72,046 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
13°C or below
$2,657 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,537 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,651 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,214 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,525 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,660 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,460 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,393 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$15,408 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,908 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$11,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volumen
$72,046Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$72,046Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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