Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 Vol.
$319,806 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 Vol.
$319,806 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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