Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 Vol.
$224,577 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 Vol.
$224,577 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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