Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 7. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 7. Juli?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$243,839 Vol.
$243,839 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$243,839 Vol.
$243,839 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
29°C or below
$5,063 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,108 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,179 Vol.
No
32°C
$23,416 Vol.
No
33°C
$27,486 Vol.
No
34°C
$44,947 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$30,813 Vol.
No
36°C
$30,172 Vol.
No
37°C
$25,795 Vol.
No
38°C
$23,998 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$16,861 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$243,839Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$243,839Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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