Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 10. Mai?
33°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 Vol.
$87,974 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C oder höher
Nein
33°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 Vol.
$87,974 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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