Latest ensemble means from global forecast models ECMWF and GFS point to a peak temperature near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—NOAA's official resolution station for Tel Aviv highs—fueling the razor-thin trader split between 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 26°C (35.5%). Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this consensus under a high-pressure ridge promoting warm conditions, tempered by hazy skies and moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean that could shave 1°C off afternoon peaks. Key differentiators include model spreads on cloud cover during solar maximum hours (typically 1-3 PM local), coastal moderation versus inland airport heat, and exact measurement rounding. Overnight model refreshes and IMS hourly bulletins may tip the balance before tomorrow's observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
27°C 37%
26°C 36%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
NEU
$13,423 Vol.
NEU
$13,423 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
5%
27°C 37%
26°C 36%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
NEU
$13,423 Vol.
NEU
$13,423 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
18°C or below
$1,309 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,595 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,401 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$997 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,142 Vol.
1%
23°C
$854 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,102 Vol.
6%
25°C
$750 Vol.
20%
26°C
$811 Vol.
36%
27°C
$1,266 Vol.
37%
28°C or higher
$2,236 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble means from global forecast models ECMWF and GFS point to a peak temperature near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—NOAA's official resolution station for Tel Aviv highs—fueling the razor-thin trader split between 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 26°C (35.5%). Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this consensus under a high-pressure ridge promoting warm conditions, tempered by hazy skies and moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean that could shave 1°C off afternoon peaks. Key differentiators include model spreads on cloud cover during solar maximum hours (typically 1-3 PM local), coastal moderation versus inland airport heat, and exact measurement rounding. Overnight model refreshes and IMS hourly bulletins may tip the balance before tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volumen
$13,423Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble means from global forecast models ECMWF and GFS point to a peak temperature near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—NOAA's official resolution station for Tel Aviv highs—fueling the razor-thin trader split between 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 26°C (35.5%). Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this consensus under a high-pressure ridge promoting warm conditions, tempered by hazy skies and moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean that could shave 1°C off afternoon peaks. Key differentiators include model spreads on cloud cover during solar maximum hours (typically 1-3 PM local), coastal moderation versus inland airport heat, and exact measurement rounding. Overnight model refreshes and IMS hourly bulletins may tip the balance before tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,423Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble means from global forecast models ECMWF and GFS point to a peak temperature near 26.5°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—NOAA's official resolution station for Tel Aviv highs—fueling the razor-thin trader split between 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 26°C (35.5%). Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this consensus under a high-pressure ridge promoting warm conditions, tempered by hazy skies and moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean that could shave 1°C off afternoon peaks. Key differentiators include model spreads on cloud cover during solar maximum hours (typically 1-3 PM local), coastal moderation versus inland airport heat, and exact measurement rounding. Overnight model refreshes and IMS hourly bulletins may tip the balance before tomorrow's observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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