**Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), the authoritative source for regional weather data, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during midday hours, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This measurement aligns with standard practices at IMS stations, capturing maximum air temperature under shaded conditions per World Meteorological Organization guidelines. Mild spring conditions prevailed, featuring partly cloudy skies, light coastal breezes, and no significant heat advection, consistent with late-April climatology where daily highs average 23–25°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-confirmation—only an unprecedented data revision from IMS audits or station discrepancies could shift it, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects this ironclad evidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 28?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$50,566 Vol.
$50,566 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$50,566 Vol.
$50,566 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), the authoritative source for regional weather data, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during midday hours, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This measurement aligns with standard practices at IMS stations, capturing maximum air temperature under shaded conditions per World Meteorological Organization guidelines. Mild spring conditions prevailed, featuring partly cloudy skies, light coastal breezes, and no significant heat advection, consistent with late-April climatology where daily highs average 23–25°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-confirmation—only an unprecedented data revision from IMS audits or station discrepancies could shift it, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects this ironclad evidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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