Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. Juli?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$124,544 Vol.
$124,544 Vol.
17. Juli 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$124,544 Vol.
$124,544 Vol.
17. Juli 2026
25°C or below
$864 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,639 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,839 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,572 Vol.
No
29°C
$21,406 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,769 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,639 Vol.
No
32°C
$28,601 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$12,984 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,643 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,587 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$124,544Enddatum
17. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$124,544Enddatum
17. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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