MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 16, pegs Wellington's April 18 high temperature at 17°C under gale northerlies bringing a few showers that turn to afternoon rain, driving trader consensus toward closely matched odds around 17–19°C with 18°C slightly favored at 32% implied probability. This reflects ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where stronger northwest winds could push peaks toward 19°C by advecting warmer air, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing might cap them at 16–17°C—historical April averages hover near 17°C amid such frontal systems. Key differentiators include exact frontal passage speed and cloud fraction; watch afternoon updates from MetService and NIWA for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
17°C 38%
16°C 36%
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
NEU
NEU
18. Apr. 2026
11°C or below
5%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
27%
18°C
32%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C or higher
4%
17°C 38%
16°C 36%
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
NEU
NEU
18. Apr. 2026
11°C or below
$60 Vol.
5%
12°C
$60 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$10 Vol.
22%
17°C
$6 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C or higher
$27 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 16, pegs Wellington's April 18 high temperature at 17°C under gale northerlies bringing a few showers that turn to afternoon rain, driving trader consensus toward closely matched odds around 17–19°C with 18°C slightly favored at 32% implied probability. This reflects ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where stronger northwest winds could push peaks toward 19°C by advecting warmer air, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing might cap them at 16–17°C—historical April averages hover near 17°C amid such frontal systems. Key differentiators include exact frontal passage speed and cloud fraction; watch afternoon updates from MetService and NIWA for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volumen
$120Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 16, pegs Wellington's April 18 high temperature at 17°C under gale northerlies bringing a few showers that turn to afternoon rain, driving trader consensus toward closely matched odds around 17–19°C with 18°C slightly favored at 32% implied probability. This reflects ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where stronger northwest winds could push peaks toward 19°C by advecting warmer air, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing might cap them at 16–17°C—historical April averages hover near 17°C amid such frontal systems. Key differentiators include exact frontal passage speed and cloud fraction; watch afternoon updates from MetService and NIWA for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$120Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 16, pegs Wellington's April 18 high temperature at 17°C under gale northerlies bringing a few showers that turn to afternoon rain, driving trader consensus toward closely matched odds around 17–19°C with 18°C slightly favored at 32% implied probability. This reflects ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where stronger northwest winds could push peaks toward 19°C by advecting warmer air, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing might cap them at 16–17°C—historical April averages hover near 17°C amid such frontal systems. Key differentiators include exact frontal passage speed and cloud fraction; watch afternoon updates from MetService and NIWA for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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