Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 27?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Vol.
$112,531 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Vol.
$112,531 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 25, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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