Current forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of 25°C in Wuhan today, driven by stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds that limit afternoon warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where traders have converged on 25°C as the resolution outcome based on recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this value. Historical May averages hover near 26–28°C, yet localized steering patterns and cloud cover today have kept readings on track for the lower threshold. Any shift would require unexpected intensification from changing pressure gradients or revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration before market close, though such revisions remain unlikely given the narrow forecast envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 20?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$28,107 Vol.
$28,107 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$28,107 Vol.
$28,107 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 18, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of 25°C in Wuhan today, driven by stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds that limit afternoon warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where traders have converged on 25°C as the resolution outcome based on recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this value. Historical May averages hover near 26–28°C, yet localized steering patterns and cloud cover today have kept readings on track for the lower threshold. Any shift would require unexpected intensification from changing pressure gradients or revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration before market close, though such revisions remain unlikely given the narrow forecast envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen