OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing anchor trader expectations around a modest IPO raise, with the <$30 billion bucket leading at 41.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, supplied substantial capital without immediate public-market dilution, while $2 billion monthly revenue growth and enterprise traction support a push toward a $1 trillion target valuation favored by CEO Sam Altman. Persistent unprofitability, competitive AI pressures, and advisers’ presentations weighing a 2027 debut for higher pricing versus a faster but lower-valued offering have tempered expectations for outsized IPO proceeds, aligning with the 23.1% probability on the $40–50 billion range and lower odds for $80 billion-plus outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 41.6%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
35%
<$30B 41.6%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
35%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing anchor trader expectations around a modest IPO raise, with the <$30 billion bucket leading at 41.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, supplied substantial capital without immediate public-market dilution, while $2 billion monthly revenue growth and enterprise traction support a push toward a $1 trillion target valuation favored by CEO Sam Altman. Persistent unprofitability, competitive AI pressures, and advisers’ presentations weighing a 2027 debut for higher pricing versus a faster but lower-valued offering have tempered expectations for outsized IPO proceeds, aligning with the 23.1% probability on the $40–50 billion range and lower odds for $80 billion-plus outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen